Working Paper


Cormac Ó Gráda
Tim Dyson


Agriculture & Food Science

food supply future risks food production population growth 21st century famines demography

Demography, food production and famine risks in the 21st century (2002)

Abstract The main purpose of this paper is to address the question of whether the world can feed itself during the 21st Century. We start with a brief review of the chief demographic effects of famines - with special reference to their possible practical significance. The paper then considers so-called 'neo-Malthusian' dimensions of famines - and, in particular, the widespread notion that population growth may outpace growth in the global food supply. We dismiss such concerns for the near term future. But we contend that in certain respects population growth and population scale may be of considerable significance apropos the risk of future famines - especially if cognisance is taken of issues of global sustainability, and the longer run. For reasons of efficiency our arguments are largely arranged in point form.
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Cormac Ó Gráda, Tim Dyson

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Cormac Ó Gráda
University College Dublin
Total Publications: 193