Type

Report

Authors

Karl Whelan

Subjects

Economics

Topics
economic forecasting rational expectations estimation income consumption economics parameters assets accounting future

Consumption and expected asset returns without assumptions about unobservables (2006)

Abstract If asset returns are predictable, then rational expectations and the arithmetic of budget constraints together imply that these predictable changes in returns should affect current consumption. This paper presents a new framework linking consumption, income, and observable assets to expectations of future asset returns. Relative to previous work on this topic, the framework proposed in this paper has a number of advantages including not relying on untestable assumptions concerning unobservable variables and not requiring estimation of unknown parameters to arrive at a forecasting variable.
Collections Ireland -> University College Dublin -> School of Economics
Ireland -> University College Dublin -> College of Social Sciences and Law
Ireland -> University College Dublin -> Economics Research Collection

Full list of authors on original publication

Karl Whelan

Experts in our system

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Karl Whelan
University College Dublin
Total Publications: 70