Working Paper


Cormac Ó Gráda
Jean-Michel Chevet



time series applied economics economic history cross section famine history of economic thought famines food prices

Grain prices and mortality : a note on La Michodières law (2004)

Abstract Research linking food prices and excess mortality has a long history in applied economics and economic history. It goes back to 1766, when Jean-Baptiste de la Michodière was the first to use empirical data to argue for a positive association between wheat prices and mortality. Here La Michodière's time series are subjected to closer statistical scrutiny: the correlation survives, though it is less strong than some later scholars asserted. We also test for the price-mortality link using cross-section data for the 1690s and 1700s.
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Cormac Ó Gráda, Jean-Michel Chevet

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Cormac Ó Gráda
University College Dublin
Total Publications: 193